PRA Based Risk Management: History and Perspectives
/Publication Date Nov 14, 2013 by Garrick B.J.
The early years in the development of probabilistic risk assessment (PRA).
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Nuclear Power: Risk Analysis
/Publication Date Oct 17, 2013 by Garrick B.J.
Nuclear power plant safety has been the principal driver for contemporary methods of probabilistic risk assessment (PRA).
Read MoreQuantitative Risk Assessment of the New York State Operated West Valley Radioactive Waste Disposal Area
/Publication Date Aug 01, 2010 by Garrick B.J., Stetkar J.W., Bembia P.J.
This paper is based on a quantitative risk assessment (QRA) that was performed on a radioactive waste disposal area within the Western New York Nuclear Service Center in western New York State.
Read MoreQuantitative Risk Assessment of the State-Licensed Radioactive Waste Disposal Area
/Publication Date Sep 25, 2008 by Garrick B.J., Stetkar J.W., Dykes A.A., Potter T.E., Wampler S.L.
The New York State Energy Research and Development Authority (NYSERDA) manages a 15 acre low-level radioactive waste disposal area, known as the "State-Licensed Disposal Area" (SDA), located at the Western New York Nuclear Service Center (Center) in western New York State.
downloadable file available | Sep 25, 2008
Read MoreRoots of Quantitative Risk Assessment
/Publication Date Jan 31, 2008 by Garrick B.J.
A replication of Appendix A of the book "Quantifying and Controlling Catastrophic Risks," Elsevier, Amsterdam, 2008, by B.J. Garrick, et al.
Read MoreQuantifying and Controlling Catastrophic Risks
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authors: Garrick B.J.
This is a book about societal and environmental risks and how to quantify their likelihood of occurrence for the good of the public.
Jan 01, 2008
Read MoreWhy Probabilistic Risk Assessment?
/Publication Date Sep 12, 2005 by Garrick B.J.
Probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) answers all the right questions about the potential safety and environmental threats of natural and engineered systems and helps us make better decisions concerning their management.
Read MoreConfronting the Risks of Terrorism: Making the Right Decisions
/Publication Date Nov 01, 2004 by Garrick B.J., Hall J.E., Kilger M., McDonald J.C., O'Toole T., Probst P.S., Parker E.R., Rosenthal R., Trivelpiece A.W., Van Arsdal L.A., Zebroski E.L.
The purpose of this report is to suggest a methodology for assessing the risk of catastrophic terrorist attacks, i.e., high consequence attacks that would result in significant loss of life and/or economic damage.
Read MoreA Decision Theory Perspective on the Disposal of High Level Radioactive Waste
/Publication Date Garrick Jan 01, 1999 B.J., Kaplan S.
In this paper the problem of high level nuclear waste disposal is viewed as a five-stage, cascaded decision problem.
Read MoreLessons Learned from 21 Nuclear Plant Probabilistic Risk Assessments
/Publication Date Aug 23, 1988 by Garrick B.J.
In the short time that plant-specific, full-scope probabilistic risk assessments (PRAs) have been performed, extensive progress has been made in understanding and managing risk.
Read MoreSpace Shuttle Probabilistic Risk Assessment, Proof-of-Concept Study, Auxiliary Power Unit and Hydraulic Power Unit Analysis Report
/Publication Date Dec 01, 1987 by Garrick B.J.
Prepared for the National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Washington, D.C., December 1987.
Read MoreThe Matrix Method for Handling Model Interfaces - Risk Assembly and Decomposition
/Publication Date Jun 01, 1983 by Kaplan S., Garrick B.J., Torri A.
Invited Paper by S. Kaplan, B. John Garrick, and A. Torri Pickard, Lowe and Garrick, Inc., Prepared for American Nuclear Society 1983 Annual Meeting Detroit, MI. June 12-17,1983, Published in American Nuclear Society Transactions, Vol. 44, June 1983.
downloadable file available | Jun 01, 1983
Read MoreOn the Quantitative Definition of Risk
/Publication Date Jan 01, 1981 by Kaplan S., Garrick B.J.
The purpose of this paper is to provide some suggestions and contributions toward a uniform conceptual/linguistic framework for quantifying and making precise the notion of risk.
Read MoreData Specialization for Plant Specific Risk Studies
/Publication Date Feb 01, 1980 by Apostolakis G., Kaplan S., Garrick B.J., Duphily R.J.
Bayes' theorem is used to derive plant specific distributions for the failure rates of components. Methods are suggested for the derivation of generic distributions from information that appears in the literature.
Read MoreOn the Use of a Bayesian Reasoning in Safety and Reliability Decisions - Three Examples
/Publication Date Feb 13, 1979 by Kaplan S., Garrick B.J.
Bayes' theorem is used to quantify the impact of "new evidence" in three energy-related decision problems. the first problem concerns the risk of radioactivity release during the railroad transport of spent nuclear fuel. this history of shipments thus far is shown to make it highly unlikely that the frequency of release is on the order of 103 or greater per shipment.
Read MorePrinciples of Unified Systems Safety Analysis
/Publication Date Aug 01, 1970 by Garrick B.J.
Unified Systems Safety Analysis (USSA) is a method for achieving safety control.
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