WiSE

Wildfire Safe Egress (WiSE) integrates the fire dynamics, human behavior, and traffic model to predict the chance of safe egress by any given community during a wildfire evacuation. WISE framework presents a unified dependency diagram and workflow offering consistent granularity between sub-models and creates comparable evacuation scenarios. A human behavior model is used to predict the community decision making and action based on their socio-demographic vulnerability profile. An agent-based stochastic approach generates evacuation departure times. The travel times are calculated through a congestion-informed traffic simulation, and a Bayesian Network is used to combine the sub-models and to predict community safety (probability of successful evacuation) via probabilistic inference based on the integrated model.